WHAT THE DESK MADE

production.gold.btc_signals_backtest SIGNALS TABLE

The desk publishes a signal and holds no broker account, so an outcome is derived: each published row is walked forward over the desk's own 30-minute bars and the first touch of the target or the stop ends it. A bar touching both is booked as the stop — which came first is unknowable, and a simulation that wins its own ties is advertising, not measurement. The table carries no size, so results are computed at 1 BTC per trade — how the desk actually operates — which makes every USD figure the position's real move.

7d 30d 90d all 7 days

The desk vs holding BTC · base 100

The dumbest possible alternative: buy BTC at the start of the period and do nothing. Both curves are indexed to 100 at the same instant — the later of the two starts — so neither is handed a head start it did not earn.

Desk equity against buy-and-hold BTC, base 100 Two indexed lines over the selected period, both starting at 100.
the desk -3.722% BTC long -0.177% gap -3.546% both = 100 at 2026-08-11 11:00

When it acted

Every crossing the table published in this period, every tick the desk opened, and every tick that took a position — on one axis, so the gap between what was available and what was acted on is a shape rather than a ratio.

Crossings, ticks and trades over the period Three lanes: published crossings on top, ticks the desk opened in the middle, positions taken at the bottom. 2026-08-11T01:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-11T01:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAL 2026-08-11T05:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-11T06:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-11T07:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-11T07:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1W VAL 2026-08-11T07:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-11T07:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAL 2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-11T08:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAL 2026-08-11T12:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-11T12:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-11T13:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-11T13:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-11T13:40:00+00:00 · abstain · 1Q VAL 2026-08-11T15:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-11T15:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-12T10:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-12T10:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-12T10:40:00+00:00 · abstain · 1D VAH 2026-08-12T12:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-12T13:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-12T13:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1Q VAL 2026-08-12T13:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-12T13:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-12T13:50:00+00:00 · hold · 1Q VAL 2026-08-13T05:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-13T06:20:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T06:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-13T07:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-13T07:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T07:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T08:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-13T09:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T15:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-13T15:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-13T15:30:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T16:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T16:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-13T17:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAL 2026-08-13T19:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-13T20:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAL 2026-08-14T04:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-14T04:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-14T05:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-14T05:40:00+00:00 · abstain · 1D VAL 2026-08-14T06:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-14T06:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-16T03:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-16T05:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-16T10:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-16T13:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-16T16:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-16T20:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-16T21:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-17T01:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-17T03:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-17T03:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-17T18:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-17T21:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-17T22:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-17T22:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-17T23:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-18T02:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-18T06:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-18T07:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-18T11:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-18T12:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short
crossing published tick opened bought sold 2026-08-11 → 2026-08-18

The sample

Every number below rests on 7 closed trades. A metric whose sample cannot support it shows what it still needs rather than a figure — an undefined ratio printed as 0.00 is the one thing a dashboard must never do.

Return & risk · selected period

resolved trades 7 n=7
result, window (1 BTC) -5151.3000 n=7
result, window -8.12% n=7
hit rate insufficient data n=7 · needs 10
profit factor insufficient data n=7 · needs 10
Sharpe insufficient data n=7 · needs 30
Sortino insufficient data n=7 · needs 30
max drawdown -7.44% n=7

Possible vs taken

How selective the desk actually is: every crossing the trigger table published in the cached window, against the ones that opened a tick and the ones that ended in an order.

crossings published 52 cached window
opened a tick 17 32.7% of published
reached the table 8 a signal was published

What it decided · 17 ticks