WHAT THE DESK MADE

production.gold.btc_signals_backtest SIGNALS TABLE

The desk publishes a signal and holds no broker account, so an outcome is derived: each published row is walked forward over the desk's own 30-minute bars and the first touch of the target or the stop ends it. A bar touching both is booked as the stop — which came first is unknowable, and a simulation that wins its own ties is advertising, not measurement. The table carries no size, so results are computed at 1 BTC per trade — how the desk actually operates — which makes every USD figure the position's real move.

7d 30d 90d all 90 days

The desk vs holding BTC · base 100

The dumbest possible alternative: buy BTC at the start of the period and do nothing. Both curves are indexed to 100 at the same instant — the later of the two starts — so neither is handed a head start it did not earn.

Desk equity against buy-and-hold BTC, base 100 Two indexed lines over the selected period, both starting at 100.
the desk -8.598% BTC long -2.029% gap -6.569% both = 100 at 2026-07-20 15:30

When it acted

Every crossing the table published in this period, every tick the desk opened, and every tick that took a position — on one axis, so the gap between what was available and what was acted on is a shape rather than a ratio.

Crossings, ticks and trades over the period Three lanes: published crossings on top, ticks the desk opened in the middle, positions taken at the bottom. 2026-07-19T15:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-19T15:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-19T15:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-19T16:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-19T17:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-19T17:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-19T18:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-19T18:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-19T21:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-19T21:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-19T22:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-19T22:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-20T00:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-20T01:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-20T01:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-20T02:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-20T03:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-20T03:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-20T04:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-20T05:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-20T05:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-20T05:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-07-20T10:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-07-20T11:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-07-20T11:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-07-20T12:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-07-20T12:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-20T14:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-20T15:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-07-20T16:00:00+00:00 · 1M VAH long 2026-07-20T16:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-20T19:00:00+00:00 · 1M VAH short 2026-07-20T19:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-20T20:30:00+00:00 · 1M VAH long 2026-07-20T22:30:00+00:00 · 1M VAH short 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00 · 1M VAH long 2026-07-21T01:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-21T02:00:00+00:00 · 1M VAH short 2026-07-21T02:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-21T02:30:00+00:00 · 1M VAH long 2026-07-21T03:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-22T05:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-22T17:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-07-22T17:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-23T00:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-23T02:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-23T13:00:00+00:00 · 1M VAH short 2026-07-23T13:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00 · 1M VAH long 2026-07-24T04:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-24T06:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAH long 2026-07-24T07:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-07-24T08:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-24T08:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAH short 2026-07-24T09:30:00+00:00 · 1M VAH short 2026-07-24T13:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-24T14:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-07-25T18:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-07-25T21:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-07-25T22:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-07-26T06:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-07-26T07:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-07-27T23:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAL 2026-07-30T03:40:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-07-30T09:40:00+00:00 · buy · 1D VAH 2026-07-30T10:20:00+00:00 · hold · 1Q VAL 2026-08-03T22:40:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-03T23:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-04T00:10:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-04T05:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-04T06:00:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-04T15:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-04T17:50:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-04T20:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1Q VAL 2026-08-05T17:00:00+00:00 · abstain 2026-08-05T17:40:00+00:00 · abstain 2026-08-05T18:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAH 2026-08-06T02:00:00+00:00 · abstain · 1D VAH 2026-08-06T13:00:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-06T14:00:00+00:00 · sell · 1Q VAL 2026-08-06T14:30:00+00:00 · hold · 1Q VAL 2026-08-06T15:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-06T16:50:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAH 2026-08-06T17:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAH 2026-08-06T18:00:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAH 2026-08-06T19:10:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-10T16:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-10T17:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-10T19:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-10T20:20:00+00:00 · abstain · 1W VAL 2026-08-11T01:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-11T01:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAL 2026-08-11T05:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-11T06:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-11T07:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-11T07:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1W VAL 2026-08-11T07:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-11T07:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1W VAL 2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-11T08:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAL 2026-08-11T12:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-11T12:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-11T13:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-11T13:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-11T13:40:00+00:00 · abstain · 1Q VAL 2026-08-11T15:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-11T15:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-12T10:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-12T10:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-12T10:40:00+00:00 · abstain · 1D VAH 2026-08-12T12:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-12T13:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-12T13:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1Q VAL 2026-08-12T13:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-12T13:30:00+00:00 · 1W VAL short 2026-08-12T13:50:00+00:00 · hold · 1Q VAL 2026-08-13T05:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-13T06:20:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T06:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-13T07:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-13T07:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T07:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T08:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-13T09:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T15:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-13T15:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-13T15:30:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T16:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAH 2026-08-13T16:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-13T17:20:00+00:00 · sell · 1D VAL 2026-08-13T19:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-13T20:40:00+00:00 · hold · 1D VAL 2026-08-14T04:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-14T04:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-14T05:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-14T05:40:00+00:00 · abstain · 1D VAL 2026-08-14T06:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-14T06:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-16T03:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-16T05:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-16T10:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-16T13:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-16T16:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-16T20:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH short 2026-08-16T21:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL short 2026-08-17T01:30:00+00:00 · 1D VAL long 2026-08-17T03:00:00+00:00 · 1D VAH long 2026-08-17T03:00:00+00:00 · 1W VAL long 2026-08-17T18:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-17T21:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-17T22:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-17T22:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-17T23:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-18T02:00:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-18T06:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-18T07:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short 2026-08-18T11:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL long 2026-08-18T12:30:00+00:00 · 1Q VAL short
crossing published tick opened bought sold 2026-05-20 → 2026-08-18

The sample

Every number below rests on 18 closed trades. A metric whose sample cannot support it shows what it still needs rather than a figure — an undefined ratio printed as 0.00 is the one thing a dashboard must never do.

Return & risk · selected period

resolved trades 18 n=18
result, window (1 BTC) -7037.8800 n=18
result, window -11.04% n=18
hit rate +22.22% n=18
profit factor 0.32 n=18
Sharpe insufficient data n=18 · needs 30
Sortino insufficient data n=18 · needs 30
max drawdown -13.08% n=18

Possible vs taken

How selective the desk actually is: every crossing the trigger table published in the cached window, against the ones that opened a tick and the ones that ended in an order.

crossings published 125 cached window
opened a tick 41 32.8% of published
reached the table 19 a signal was published

What it decided · 41 ticks